A question worth forecasting.
The machine first drafts a precise, resolvable question with named outcomes. A vague worry becomes something that can be checked.
Evidence-backed forecasts, from a question to a probability.
Senior software engineer / frontend leadPROJECT CONTEXT
01 / THE STARTING POINT
The Forecasting Machine is built by FORAXION, a London company founded in 2024 as an AI-first spinoff of Hypermind, which has run prediction markets for businesses since 2000. It turns open questions into reasoned probabilities, then keeps them current against millions of articles.
Since 2025 I have led its frontend architecture: a clean white interface driven by the reading experience, developed once and shipped across web, desktop and mobile.
02 / THE PRODUCT IN PRACTICE
The machine first drafts a precise, resolvable question with named outcomes. A vague worry becomes something that can be checked.
It reads the news, sorts sources into six levels of credibility and reasons with models from Anthropic, OpenAI and Google. A forecast takes four to eight minutes.
The result travels as a PDF brief, an embeddable live widget or a public report, or through the API and alerts.
03 / A CLOSER READING
One frontend serves the browser, the desktop and the phone, so a forecast reads the same wherever a decision is made.
Among its users: the OECD Strategic Foresight Unit, Institut Montaigne and CMAP at École Polytechnique.
04 / THE THROUGH LINE
A forecast is only useful if someone can read it, question it and act on it. The interface keeps the evidence one step away from the number.